After my completely way off prediction about how the writer’s strike could go on indefinitely blew up in my face, I think they started hammering out a tentative deal about two days after my post, I was thinking I don’t know anything.  Then I see Roger Ebert’s Oscar picks and I’m feeling a whole lot more confident about my ability to read a situation correctly.

Here’s how our picks break down.  We agree on actor (Daniel Day Lewis), Actress (Ellen Page), Supporting Actor (Javier Bardem), Animated Feature (Ratatouille), Picture (No Country For Old Men), Director (Joel and Ethan Coen), Original Screen Play (Juno), and Adapted Screen Play (No Country For Old Men).

What we disagreed on was Supporting Actress (Ebert-Ruby Dee, Me-Amy Ryan), Documentary (Ebert-No End In Sight, Me-Sicko), and Song (Ebert-Falling Slowly, Me-So Close).

Most interesting is that Ebert made predictions for Cinematography and Editing, which I didn’t; while not making any predictions for Special Effects, Make Up, and Score, which I did.  So as you can see we sorta think alike.

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